Man vs. stats: How well did I predict the election?
I did glance at a few polls, but more importantly I read editorials in dozens of local newspapers of the battleground states, and put that all together with my own intuitions on voter behavior, election history, and sense of risk (I’ll admit, some of my calls were quite simply gambles – I’ll explain in depth down more).In the end, the four states that cannot be called right now + the one I really called wrong (North Dakota) were the exactsame five states I predicted would be tossups. I knew these were the risky bets: North Dakota especially, lol. That was more of a pot shot hoping-for-a-miracle-to-make-me-look-smart-bet.
So, in other words: I called it!
My final 2008 election predictions (Nevada decides)
It is one week from that fateful morning where we will all know who the next President will be (baring a repeat of the 2000 election). Here are my final predictions about the Presidential Election.
I still reserve the right to adjust my predictions as new information comes available, but that will probably only find its way into the “tossup” and “surprises” sections. This total electoral count for each candidate is my final prediction.